MTK Budapest II vs Iváncsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.5%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
75.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
7º
14º
7º
16
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
4º
|
16 | 70 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 65 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
1º
|
18 | 64 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 58 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 57 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 56 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
7 | 39 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 38 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 36 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 33 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 33 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 32 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 27 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 25 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 22 |
15º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 21 |
16º
|
29.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 56.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 43.5% |
|
Relegation
|
4% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MTK Budapest II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
NAG
3 - 2
MTK
66%
19%
16%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MTK
2 - 3
KAP
16%
21%
63%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
PTE
0 - 2
MTK
25%
21%
54%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MTK
0 - 1
MSE
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BFC
2 - 2
MTK
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Iváncsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
IVA
4 - 0
TIS
48%
22%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SZE
1 - 2
IVA
5%
14%
81%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
IVA
2 - 3
NAG
63%
20%
17%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
KAP
1 - 5
IVA
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
EKI
2 - 7
IVA
8%
13%
80%
|
50 | 9 | 41 | 0 |