MTK Budapest II vs Iváncsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
74.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
7º
14º
9º
38
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
38 | 70 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 64 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 62 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 61 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 59 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 53 |
6º
|
55% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 42 |
7º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 39 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 36 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 35 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 33 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 26 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 26 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 25 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 25 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 18 |
16º
|
59% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 66.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 33.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MTK Budapest II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
NAG
3 - 2
MTK
66%
19%
16%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MTK
2 - 3
KAP
16%
21%
63%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
PTE
0 - 2
MTK
25%
21%
54%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MTK
0 - 1
MSE
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BFC
2 - 2
MTK
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Iváncsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
IVA
4 - 0
TIS
49%
22%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SZE
1 - 2
IVA
5%
14%
81%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
IVA
2 - 3
NAG
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
KAP
1 - 5
IVA
35%
25%
40%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
EKI
2 - 7
IVA
8%
13%
80%
|
52 | 10 | 42 | 0 |