Mtibwa Sugar vs Young Africans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
44.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+173%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
MTI
0 - 1
KMC
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
MTI
1 - 0
AZA
26%
30%
43%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2020 |
MBA
1 - 0
MTI
39%
30%
32%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 1
MTI
48%
27%
25%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
MWA
1 - 0
MTI
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Young Africans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
YOU
1 - 1
MWA
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
YOU
3 - 1
SUT
82%
12%
5%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2020 |
KAG
0 - 1
YOU
27%
29%
44%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2020 |
BUM
0 - 0
YOU
27%
31%
43%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
YOU
3 - 2
NDA
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |