Mtibwa Sugar vs Tanzania Prisons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
32.2%
Draw
0-0
16%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.2%
27.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
JKT
0 - 0
MTI
42%
30%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
SIM
2 - 1
MTI
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
LFC
3 - 1
MTI
44%
30%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2019 |
SIM
3 - 0
MTI
69%
20%
11%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
MTI
1 - 0
YOU
27%
29%
45%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Tanzania Prisons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
TAN
2 - 1
RUV
43%
29%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
MBE
0 - 0
TAN
31%
33%
36%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
TAN
0 - 1
SIM
28%
29%
43%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
SUT
2 - 1
TAN
39%
33%
28%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
MBE
0 - 1
TAN
37%
33%
31%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |