Mtibwa Sugar vs Mwadui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
27.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
MTI
0 - 0
SUT
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
MTI
2 - 1
COA
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
MTI
2 - 0
POL
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
NAM
1 - 0
MTI
60%
25%
16%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
NDA
0 - 1
MTI
38%
30%
32%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mwadui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
LFC
2 - 0
MWA
43%
30%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
MWA
1 - 0
SIM
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
MWA
2 - 2
JKT
53%
26%
22%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
POL
1 - 0
MWA
34%
30%
36%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
COA
2 - 1
MWA
28%
31%
41%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -2 |