Mtibwa Sugar vs Ihefu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
31%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
14º
11º
36
6º
16º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
53% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
57.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
29.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
72% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
MTI
2 - 1
RUV
35%
29%
36%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
NAM
2 - 2
MTI
59%
24%
16%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
YOU
1 - 0
MTI
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
MTI
2 - 4
NAM
28%
30%
42%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
SIM
2 - 0
MTI
62%
22%
15%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ihefu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
IFC
0 - 1
NAM
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
IFC
0 - 1
RUV
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
KMC
1 - 0
IFC
56%
25%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
YOU
2 - 0
IFC
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
KAG
0 - 0
IFC
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |