Mtibwa Sugar vs Alliance analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
22.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2019 |
KAG
1 - 3
MTI
46%
29%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
BUM
0 - 0
MTI
39%
29%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
MTI
1 - 0
MWA
44%
29%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
MTI
0 - 0
SUT
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
MTI
2 - 1
COA
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alliance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
AFC
1 - 2
YOU
33%
29%
38%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2019 |
AFC
0 - 5
AZA
34%
31%
35%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
AFC
2 - 1
KMC
41%
29%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
COA
0 - 1
AFC
31%
29%
40%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
POL
1 - 0
AFC
32%
29%
39%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |