Mthatha Bucks vs Swallows FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
39.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mthatha Bucks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
MTH
2 - 0
ALL
23%
22%
54%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MBO
3 - 1
MTH
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
MTH
0 - 1
EAG
35%
25%
41%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 0
MTH
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
MTH
1 - 1
THA
31%
24%
45%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Swallows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
SWA
4 - 0
UCT
83%
12%
5%
|
54 | 15 | 39 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
SWA
1 - 1
WAR
55%
23%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
SWA
1 - 1
WIT
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
THA
2 - 2
SWA
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
SWA
0 - 3
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -2 |