Mthatha Bucks vs Marumo Gallants FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
38.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mthatha Bucks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
SFC
1 - 1
MTH
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MTH
0 - 0
SAN
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
MTH
48%
24%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
WAR
0 - 0
MTH
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MTH
1 - 1
MBO
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Marumo Gallants FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
MIL
2 - 1
BLA
44%
27%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MIL
2 - 0
WAR
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SWA
1 - 2
MIL
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MIL
2 - 0
EAG
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
WIT
2 - 0
MIL
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |