Mtarfa vs Vittoriosa Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
31.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
10º
12º
11º
11
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 16 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 14 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 14 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 14 |
8º
|
48% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtarfa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
MTA
70%
19%
12%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
MTA
2 - 1
MQA
46%
22%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SWI
2 - 1
MTA
78%
14%
7%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
MTA
71%
17%
12%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MTA
2 - 2
MAR
26%
24%
50%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Vittoriosa Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 4
MAR
26%
23%
52%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
VIT
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 0
FUN
16%
21%
64%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +3 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
LIJ
4 - 3
VIT
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
3 - 1
SAI
14%
20%
66%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +5 |