Mtarfa vs Swieqi United analysis

Mtarfa Swieqi United
44 ELO 43
-1.1% Tilt 0.1%
4755º General ELO ranking 3127º
31º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
46.1%
Mtarfa
24.5%
Draw
29.4%
Swieqi United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
Mtarfa
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.4%
Win probability
Swieqi United
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mtarfa
+60%
+2%
Swieqi United

Points and table prediction

Mtarfa
Their league position
Swieqi United
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
18º
16º
24
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sliema Wanderers
47
47
100%
Naxxar Lions FC
41
41
100%
Zejtun Corinthians FC
33
33
100%
Tarxien Rainbows
32
32
100%
Zurrieq FC
29
29
100%
Melita
26
26
100%
Fgura United FC
25
25
100%
Marsa FC
24
24
100%
Swieqi United
24
24
100%
Saint Andrews
10º
22
22
10º
100%
Lija
11º
20
20
11º
100%
Attard
12º
19
19
12º
100%
San Gwann
13º
18
18
13º
100%
Marsaskala
14º
15
15
14º
0%
Mqabba FC
15º
15
15
15º
0%
Mtarfa
17º
14
14
16º
100%
Qrendi
16º
14
14
17º
100%
Vittoriosa Stars
18º
10
10
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Mtarfa
Swieqi United
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 100%

ELO progression

Mtarfa
Swieqi United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mtarfa
Mtarfa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Sep. 2022
LIJ
Lija
0 - 0
Mtarfa
MTA
59%
21%
21%
43 45 2 0
04 Sep. 2022
MTA
Mtarfa
0 - 0
Melita
MEL
25%
24%
51%
43 50 7 0
28 Aug. 2022
SAN
San Gwann
1 - 0
Mtarfa
MTA
64%
20%
16%
43 50 7 0
16 Apr. 2022
MTA
Mtarfa
4 - 1
Gharghur
GHA
67%
19%
14%
43 35 8 0
13 Apr. 2022
ZAB
Zabbar St. Patrick
2 - 3
Mtarfa
MTA
54%
23%
23%
42 46 4 +1

Matches

Swieqi United
Swieqi United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Sep. 2022
SWI
Swieqi United
4 - 3
Marsaskala
MAR
48%
24%
28%
43 43 0 0
03 Sep. 2022
TAR
Tarxien Rainbows
0 - 2
Swieqi United
SWI
78%
14%
8%
42 52 10 +1
28 Aug. 2022
SWI
Swieqi United
2 - 2
Zurrieq FC
ZUR
30%
26%
44%
41 47 6 +1
29 Jul. 2022
GUD
Gudja United
2 - 3
Swieqi United
SWI
69%
20%
12%
41 54 13 0
10 Apr. 2022
PIE
Pieta Hotspurs
3 - 1
Swieqi United
SWI
67%
19%
14%
42 49 7 -1
X