Mtarfa vs Qrendi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
35.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
10º
12º
11º
13
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 16 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 14 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 14 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 14 |
8º
|
48% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 30.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 69.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtarfa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MTA
1 - 2
QAL
91%
8%
1%
|
37 | 8 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MTA
1 - 0
MQA
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
ZEJ
0 - 1
MTA
84%
11%
5%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MTA
2 - 3
QRE
47%
22%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
MTA
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Qrendi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ATT
0 - 0
QRE
62%
21%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
QRE
4 - 3
FUN
26%
23%
50%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MTA
2 - 3
QRE
47%
22%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
QRE
2 - 3
MAR
40%
23%
37%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
TAR
4 - 0
QRE
82%
12%
6%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |