Mtarfa vs Marsaskala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
50.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
10º
12º
11º
13
4º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 16 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 14 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 14 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 14 |
8º
|
48% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 48% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 52% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtarfa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FUN
1 - 1
MTA
78%
14%
8%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MTA
0 - 1
LIJ
19%
19%
62%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SAI
2 - 1
MTA
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MTA
0 - 1
QRE
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MTA
1 - 2
QAL
91%
8%
1%
|
38 | 9 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Marsaskala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
MAR
24%
22%
54%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SWI
2 - 1
MAR
71%
17%
12%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
FUN
1 - 1
MAR
67%
19%
15%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 3
LIJ
31%
22%
47%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
SAN
36%
24%
41%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |