MSV Neuruppin vs Union Fürstenwalde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
55.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-79%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
16º
16º
47
5º
17º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
30 | 30 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Neuruppin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
HZE
1 - 1
MSV
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MSV
2 - 2
MSV
57%
20%
23%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
RFC
4 - 1
MSV
70%
16%
14%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
MSV
3 - 0
FRA
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BWB
1 - 0
MSV
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Union Fürstenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 2
TUM
51%
21%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
OPT
0 - 3
UNI
34%
21%
44%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 0
TAS
84%
10%
6%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
DSC
3 - 0
UNI
17%
17%
66%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 2
RSV
73%
15%
12%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |