MSV Neuruppin vs FC Frankfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
11.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
16º
16º
31
3º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
30 | 30 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Neuruppin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BWB
1 - 0
MSV
69%
17%
14%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TUM
3 - 2
MSV
61%
19%
20%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
MSV
2 - 1
OPT
37%
22%
42%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TAS
0 - 1
MSV
42%
21%
37%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MSV
1 - 1
DSC
61%
19%
20%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
FC Frankfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FRA
1 - 3
TUM
19%
19%
62%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
OPT
4 - 2
FRA
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FRA
1 - 0
TAS
40%
21%
39%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
FRA
0 - 8
HER
3%
10%
87%
|
17 | 76 | 59 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
DSC
0 - 2
FRA
67%
17%
16%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |