MSV Duisburg vs Zwickau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ROS
3 - 1
MSV
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2020 |
MSV
0 - 5
BVB
6%
13%
81%
|
63 | 89 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
ARB
3 - 2
MSV
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2020 |
MSV
1 - 1
VFB
87%
10%
3%
|
64 | 31 | 33 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
MSV
1 - 2
FEY
16%
20%
65%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ZWI
2 - 1
UNT
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
AUE
0 - 0
ZWI
16%
19%
64%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
ZWI
4 - 1
BAY
68%
19%
14%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
KSC
1 - 0
ZWI
63%
20%
17%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
RIE
2 - 2
ZWI
73%
16%
11%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |