MSV Duisburg vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
18.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1977 |
BVB
2 - 1
MSV
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1977 |
MSV
0 - 0
RTV
63%
20%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1977 |
HER
2 - 4
MSV
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1977 |
BYM
2 - 2
MSV
79%
13%
9%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1977 |
MSV
3 - 2
MON
26%
24%
50%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1977 |
BRE
1 - 0
MON
23%
24%
53%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1977 |
KSC
3 - 1
BRE
50%
24%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1977 |
BRE
1 - 0
SAA
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1977 |
HSV
5 - 3
BRE
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1977 |
BRE
1 - 1
S04
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |