MSV Duisburg vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1973 |
ROT
4 - 0
MSV
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1973 |
MSV
2 - 0
BYM
13%
23%
64%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1973 |
OFC
4 - 1
MSV
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1973 |
MSV
0 - 1
RTV
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1973 |
HER
4 - 2
MSV
64%
19%
18%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1973 |
HER
2 - 2
BRE
57%
20%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1973 |
BRE
2 - 0
HER
48%
22%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1973 |
BRE
0 - 2
STU
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1973 |
MON
3 - 1
BRE
83%
11%
6%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1973 |
BRE
2 - 0
EIN
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |