MSV Duisburg vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1965 |
FCN
1 - 1
MSV
72%
17%
12%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1965 |
MSV
3 - 2
BVB
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1965 |
HAN
2 - 0
MSV
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1965 |
MSV
2 - 2
HER
75%
15%
11%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1965 |
STU
4 - 2
MSV
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1965 |
BRE
3 - 2
MUN
46%
23%
32%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1965 |
S04
1 - 0
BRE
45%
24%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1965 |
HER
0 - 0
BRE
22%
20%
58%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1965 |
BRE
1 - 0
STU
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1965 |
NEU
1 - 1
BRE
38%
22%
40%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |