MSV Duisburg vs Wattenscheid 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
22.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1985 |
KSC
2 - 0
MSV
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
MSV
2 - 3
BAY
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
BWB
0 - 0
MSV
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
BRE
1 - 3
MSV
22%
20%
58%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
MSV
1 - 3
TEN
64%
23%
14%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1985 |
WAT
2 - 0
DAR
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
AAA
0 - 1
WAT
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
KSC
1 - 1
WAT
65%
19%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
WAT
2 - 5
MON
25%
22%
53%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
WAT
3 - 0
BAY
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |