MSV Duisburg vs Wattenscheid 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
11%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1978 |
MSV
1 - 0
S04
47%
25%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
SAA
1 - 2
MSV
32%
26%
42%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
MSV
3 - 1
EBT
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
BYM
3 - 2
MSV
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1978 |
MSV
2 - 1
STU
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 1978 |
WAT
2 - 0
HOL
78%
14%
8%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1978 |
WUP
3 - 2
WAT
59%
22%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1978 |
WAT
3 - 0
SCH
66%
19%
15%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1978 |
WAT
0 - 2
ARB
54%
23%
24%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1978 |
WHE
2 - 1
WAT
53%
24%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |