MSV Duisburg vs Waldhof Mannheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
10.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1978 |
MSV
1 - 0
EBT
57%
22%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1978 |
STR
0 - 0
MSV
51%
21%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1978 |
BVB
4 - 1
MSV
48%
23%
30%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1978 |
MSV
0 - 2
HSV
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1978 |
F95
3 - 0
MSV
49%
23%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Waldhof Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
WAL
2 - 4
FRE
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
BAU
1 - 2
WAL
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
WAL
0 - 0
AUG
69%
18%
13%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
WAL
1 - 1
KSC
51%
23%
26%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
BAY
1 - 0
WAL
66%
19%
15%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |