MSV Duisburg vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1984 |
S04
4 - 2
MSV
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1984 |
MSV
3 - 0
HES
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1984 |
SAA
2 - 0
MSV
38%
27%
34%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1984 |
MSV
4 - 3
ROT
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1984 |
BVL
1 - 2
MSV
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1984 |
ULM
2 - 1
HAN
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1984 |
HER
1 - 0
ULM
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1984 |
ULM
1 - 0
OSN
55%
23%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1984 |
USO
4 - 2
ULM
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1984 |
ULM
1 - 1
DAR
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |