MSV Duisburg vs Tasmania Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.8%
12.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1965 |
NEU
0 - 1
MSV
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1965 |
MSV
4 - 1
EBT
57%
22%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1965 |
EIN
2 - 0
MSV
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1965 |
MSV
2 - 3
MUN
35%
24%
41%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1965 |
BRE
2 - 0
MSV
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tasmania Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1965 |
TAS
0 - 2
STU
38%
23%
39%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1965 |
KAI
0 - 0
TAS
59%
20%
21%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1965 |
TAS
1 - 5
HAN
44%
25%
32%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1965 |
FCN
7 - 2
TAS
81%
11%
8%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1965 |
TAS
0 - 2
BYM
29%
19%
52%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |