MSV Duisburg vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ROS
4 - 2
MSV
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
MSV
1 - 2
FSV
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
COT
1 - 1
MSV
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
MSV
3 - 1
KSC
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2011 |
MSV
0 - 2
F95
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
STP
2 - 1
RTV
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
AAA
2 - 1
STP
33%
26%
42%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2011 |
STP
2 - 0
EIN
39%
25%
36%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ING
1 - 0
STP
21%
25%
54%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
PAD
1 - 1
STP
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |