MSV Duisburg vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
44%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
RTV
3 - 1
MSV
49%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
MSV
3 - 1
PAD
68%
20%
13%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
FSV
0 - 4
MSV
27%
28%
45%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
MSV
0 - 1
HER
36%
26%
39%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
COT
3 - 1
MSV
46%
26%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
KOL
2 - 1
S04
25%
26%
49%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
S04
1 - 3
M05
58%
24%
18%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
MUD
4 - 1
S04
71%
18%
11%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BYM
4 - 1
S04
65%
21%
15%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
S04
0 - 2
MUD
23%
27%
50%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |