MSV Duisburg vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
51.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
ROS
2 - 0
MSV
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
MSV
1 - 2
HER
36%
26%
39%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
MSV
3 - 0
ARB
45%
26%
28%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
STU
1 - 0
MSV
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
MSV
1 - 3
WOL
42%
26%
33%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
S04
3 - 0
ARB
62%
23%
15%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2007 |
S04
0 - 1
VCF
35%
29%
37%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
BYM
1 - 1
S04
55%
23%
22%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
S04
1 - 1
LEV
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
WOL
1 - 1
S04
25%
25%
50%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |