MSV Duisburg vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
44.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
MSV
1 - 0
LUB
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
ARB
1 - 1
MSV
48%
26%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
MSV
0 - 4
BYM
17%
22%
61%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1996 |
MSV
1 - 3
LEV
27%
25%
48%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
RTV
1 - 0
MSV
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1996 |
S04
1 - 1
RTV
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1996 |
STP
4 - 4
S04
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
S04
0 - 0
MON
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
STU
4 - 0
S04
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 1996 |
ULM
0 - 2
S04
12%
21%
67%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | +1 |