MSV Duisburg vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
SAA
1 - 2
MSV
32%
26%
42%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
MSV
3 - 1
EBT
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
BYM
3 - 2
MSV
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1978 |
MSV
2 - 1
STU
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1978 |
STP
2 - 2
MSV
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
S04
2 - 0
HER
56%
23%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
MON
2 - 1
S04
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
S04
0 - 2
BVB
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1978 |
EBT
3 - 1
S04
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1978 |
HSV
2 - 0
S04
53%
23%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |