MSV Duisburg vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2009 |
MSV
2 - 2
FCN
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2009 |
AAA
1 - 2
MSV
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
MSV
4 - 1
MUN
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
AUG
1 - 1
MSV
37%
28%
36%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
MSV
2 - 1
WEH
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SCF
2 - 1
AAA
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
WEH
0 - 1
SCF
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
SCF
1 - 0
AUG
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2009 |
ROS
1 - 3
SCF
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
SCF
4 - 1
OSN
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |