MSV Duisburg vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1983 |
OFC
1 - 2
MSV
71%
17%
12%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1983 |
MSV
2 - 2
TSN
66%
20%
15%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1983 |
USO
2 - 0
MSV
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1983 |
MSV
3 - 3
WAL
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1983 |
OSN
0 - 2
MSV
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1983 |
SCF
1 - 1
KÖL
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1983 |
WAL
0 - 3
SCF
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1983 |
SCF
0 - 1
SVS
39%
27%
35%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1983 |
SCF
1 - 1
OSN
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1983 |
AAA
1 - 1
SCF
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |