MSV Duisburg vs 1. FC Saarbrücken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
SGD
3 - 1
MSV
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
ARB
1 - 3
MSV
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
MSV
1 - 1
SGF
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
ERZ
2 - 1
MSV
37%
27%
37%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
MSV
4 - 2
COT
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
SAA
0 - 2
ERF
49%
25%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
SAA
2 - 1
SCH
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
ERF
2 - 1
SAA
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
SAA
3 - 1
WEH
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
MAI
1 - 0
SAA
36%
27%
37%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |