MSV Duisburg vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
23.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
ROT
2 - 0
MSV
58%
21%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
MSV
4 - 0
SHE
85%
10%
5%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
BVB
3 - 2
MSV
76%
14%
10%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
VIK
1 - 0
MSV
63%
19%
18%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
MSV
0 - 2
RTV
65%
19%
16%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1959 |
ROT
1 - 0
S04
59%
21%
21%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
PRE
1 - 2
ROT
60%
20%
20%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
RTV
1 - 2
ROT
65%
19%
17%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
ROT
2 - 2
WHE
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
MON
0 - 6
ROT
61%
19%
21%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +2 |