MSV Duisburg vs Rot Weiss Ahlen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
TUS
1 - 1
MSV
36%
28%
37%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
MSV
1 - 2
STP
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
M05
0 - 0
MSV
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
MSV
6 - 1
ING
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2008 |
SCF
2 - 0
MSV
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Rot Weiss Ahlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
RWA
0 - 2
M05
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
AAA
0 - 2
RWA
63%
21%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2008 |
RWA
0 - 3
SCF
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2008 |
KAI
4 - 1
RWA
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
RWA
1 - 1
FCN
34%
27%
40%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |