MSV Duisburg vs Rot Weiss Ahlen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2004 |
ROT
0 - 3
MSV
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2004 |
MSV
3 - 1
OSN
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
FCN
2 - 0
MSV
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2004 |
MSV
2 - 1
AAA
37%
25%
38%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
FCU
2 - 1
MSV
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Rot Weiss Ahlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
RWA
3 - 2
SGF
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
ERZ
2 - 0
RWA
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
RWA
3 - 1
WAC
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2004 |
RWA
0 - 0
COT
35%
27%
39%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
M05
0 - 0
RWA
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |