MSV Duisburg vs Rot Weiss Ahlen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2001 |
MSV
2 - 2
OSN
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
SAA
1 - 0
MSV
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2001 |
MSV
1 - 1
CHE
80%
15%
6%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2001 |
SGF
1 - 0
MSV
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2001 |
MSV
0 - 2
MON
35%
25%
40%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Rot Weiss Ahlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2001 |
RWA
1 - 2
AAA
62%
20%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
M05
2 - 2
RWA
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2001 |
RWA
4 - 1
ROT
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
ULM
2 - 0
RWA
50%
23%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2001 |
SAA
1 - 2
RWA
42%
25%
34%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |