MSV Duisburg vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
41.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
BOR
0 - 7
MSV
23%
23%
55%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
MSV
0 - 0
EIN
15%
21%
64%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
MSV
2 - 1
VJI
28%
24%
48%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 4
MSV
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2016 |
MSV
1 - 2
WUR
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
ROT
1 - 2
PAD
13%
18%
69%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
DSC
1 - 5
PAD
5%
11%
84%
|
67 | 23 | 44 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
PAD
3 - 2
SGF
38%
25%
38%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
MEP
3 - 2
PAD
10%
17%
73%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
PAD
0 - 1
FCN
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |