MSV Duisburg vs Neunkirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1966 |
EBT
1 - 0
MSV
44%
27%
30%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1966 |
MSV
0 - 0
EIN
50%
23%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1966 |
MUN
3 - 3
MSV
72%
16%
11%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1966 |
MSV
6 - 0
S04
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1966 |
MSV
1 - 2
BRE
45%
24%
32%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Neunkirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1966 |
NEU
1 - 2
STU
47%
22%
31%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1966 |
KAI
0 - 0
NEU
62%
19%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1966 |
NEU
1 - 0
HAN
47%
22%
31%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1966 |
FCN
3 - 1
NEU
77%
14%
10%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1966 |
NEU
0 - 4
BYM
24%
19%
58%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |