MSV Duisburg vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
11.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1994 |
MSV
0 - 3
BYM
23%
24%
53%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1994 |
KSC
4 - 1
MSV
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1994 |
MSV
2 - 2
S04
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1994 |
KFC
1 - 1
MSV
46%
27%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1994 |
ERF
0 - 2
MSV
27%
24%
49%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1994 |
WAL
4 - 0
M05
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1994 |
M05
2 - 2
ROS
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1994 |
WOL
2 - 0
M05
57%
23%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1994 |
M05
4 - 1
HOM
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1994 |
WER
0 - 1
M05
34%
23%
42%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | +1 |