MSV Duisburg vs VfB Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2003 |
RWA
0 - 0
MSV
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2003 |
MSV
0 - 2
EIN
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2003 |
MSV
2 - 2
KOL
28%
24%
48%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
AAA
1 - 0
MSV
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
MSV
2 - 4
EIN
61%
23%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
LUB
2 - 0
KSC
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
WAC
0 - 0
LUB
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
LUB
1 - 1
KOL
20%
22%
58%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
SGF
2 - 1
LUB
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2003 |
LUB
2 - 0
SCF
23%
25%
52%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | +1 |