MSV Duisburg vs VfB Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
6.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
ARB
1 - 1
MSV
48%
26%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
MSV
0 - 4
BYM
17%
22%
61%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1996 |
MSV
1 - 3
LEV
27%
25%
48%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
RTV
1 - 0
MSV
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1996 |
BAY
1 - 3
MSV
10%
20%
70%
|
73 | 33 | 40 | +1 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
SVS
2 - 3
LUB
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1996 |
LUB
0 - 0
UNT
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 1996 |
WEH
1 - 2
LUB
30%
23%
47%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1996 |
MEP
2 - 0
LUB
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 1996 |
LUB
1 - 1
EIN
16%
23%
62%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | +1 |