MSV Duisburg vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1985 |
MSV
3 - 1
DAR
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
HOM
3 - 0
MSV
49%
25%
27%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1985 |
MSV
0 - 2
USO
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1985 |
ULM
2 - 3
MSV
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1985 |
MSV
1 - 1
WAT
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1985 |
SCF
0 - 2
HOM
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
HOM
3 - 0
MSV
49%
25%
27%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1985 |
FCN
3 - 0
HOM
65%
20%
16%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1985 |
HOM
3 - 3
HAN
41%
25%
34%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1985 |
HER
3 - 3
HOM
63%
21%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |