MSV Duisburg vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
48%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
LEV
3 - 2
MSV
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
MSV
1 - 1
MON
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2006 |
BVB
2 - 0
MSV
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
MSV
2 - 2
KAI
36%
25%
39%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
STU
0 - 1
MSV
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2006 |
RAP
2 - 0
HER
33%
27%
39%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
HER
1 - 2
S04
37%
27%
36%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
HER
0 - 1
RAP
64%
22%
14%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
WOL
1 - 1
HER
34%
26%
39%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2006 |
HER
0 - 0
BYM
19%
24%
57%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |