MSV Duisburg vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1983 |
OSN
2 - 3
MSV
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1983 |
MSV
1 - 2
USO
61%
22%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1983 |
ULM
3 - 1
MSV
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1983 |
MSV
1 - 1
S04
48%
25%
28%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1983 |
HES
0 - 1
MSV
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1983 |
HER
3 - 1
HAN
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1983 |
DAR
4 - 3
HER
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1983 |
OSN
0 - 0
HER
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1983 |
HER
1 - 2
USO
71%
18%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1983 |
ULM
2 - 2
HER
30%
27%
43%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |