MSV Duisburg vs Hamburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
40.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1965 |
BVB
1 - 1
MSV
75%
15%
10%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1965 |
MSV
3 - 2
MON
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1965 |
KSC
0 - 4
MSV
43%
24%
33%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1965 |
MSV
3 - 0
TAS
72%
15%
13%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1965 |
NEU
0 - 1
MSV
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1965 |
HSV
4 - 1
STU
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1965 |
KAI
2 - 1
HSV
27%
22%
51%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1965 |
HSV
2 - 1
HAN
73%
15%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1965 |
FCN
5 - 0
HSV
47%
22%
32%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1965 |
HSV
0 - 4
BYM
63%
17%
20%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |