MSV Duisburg vs Hamburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
67.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1963 |
KOL
3 - 3
MSV
73%
16%
11%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1963 |
MSV
3 - 1
SAA
70%
17%
13%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 1963 |
S04
2 - 2
MSV
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1963 |
MSV
3 - 0
MUN
42%
26%
33%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 1963 |
BRE
1 - 1
MSV
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1963 |
HSV
2 - 1
EBT
81%
12%
8%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1963 |
HSV
5 - 0
MUN
82%
11%
7%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1963 |
BRE
4 - 2
HSV
33%
22%
45%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1963 |
HSV
5 - 1
HER
90%
7%
3%
|
78 | 31 | 47 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1963 |
ULU
2 - 3
HSV
25%
18%
57%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +2 |