MSV Duisburg vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
35.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
EBT
0 - 3
MSV
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
MSV
2 - 0
PRE
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
ING
3 - 2
MSV
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
MSV
4 - 1
SGS
52%
23%
25%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
MSV
1 - 1
STO
34%
25%
42%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
STP
1 - 3
SGF
45%
26%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
SGF
0 - 2
ERZ
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
MUN
0 - 1
SGF
24%
23%
53%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
AUG
1 - 0
SGF
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
SGF
1 - 1
HUR
40%
25%
35%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |