MSV Duisburg vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1985 |
ARB
3 - 1
MSV
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1985 |
MSV
1 - 0
HOM
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1985 |
MSV
3 - 1
DAR
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
HOM
3 - 0
MSV
49%
25%
27%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1985 |
MSV
0 - 2
USO
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1985 |
KÖL
0 - 3
DAR
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1985 |
WAT
2 - 6
KÖL
48%
23%
29%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1985 |
KÖL
1 - 2
USO
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
ULM
4 - 4
KÖL
40%
27%
34%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1985 |
KÖL
2 - 1
WAT
60%
21%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |