MSV Duisburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1992 |
ROS
0 - 0
MSV
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1992 |
MSV
0 - 0
BRE
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1992 |
KSC
2 - 2
MSV
48%
27%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1992 |
MSV
1 - 1
SVS
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1992 |
MSV
1 - 2
LEV
42%
28%
30%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1992 |
F95
1 - 1
LEV
35%
29%
36%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1992 |
WAT
4 - 1
F95
49%
26%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1992 |
F95
1 - 1
MON
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1992 |
STU
3 - 1
F95
70%
19%
12%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1992 |
F95
1 - 1
BVB
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |