MSV Duisburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
34.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1982 |
BRE
5 - 1
MSV
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1982 |
MSV
0 - 2
DAR
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1982 |
LEV
2 - 1
MSV
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1982 |
MSV
2 - 3
BYM
18%
23%
59%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1982 |
ARB
2 - 0
MSV
59%
22%
18%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1982 |
F95
3 - 3
HSV
28%
23%
49%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1982 |
EIN
4 - 0
F95
68%
18%
15%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1982 |
F95
1 - 1
KOL
41%
25%
35%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1982 |
FCN
2 - 2
F95
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1982 |
F95
0 - 0
BVB
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |