MSV Duisburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1980 |
BVB
3 - 1
MSV
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1980 |
MSV
1 - 0
MUN
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1980 |
KFC
1 - 1
MSV
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1980 |
MSV
4 - 1
BRE
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1980 |
KOL
2 - 3
MSV
78%
14%
9%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1980 |
F95
4 - 0
HER
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1980 |
BYM
6 - 0
F95
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1980 |
F95
3 - 1
BVB
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1980 |
F95
1 - 4
MON
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1980 |
HSV
1 - 0
F95
74%
16%
11%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |